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NewsEarly betting moves Randwick & Caulfield 24 Feb 17
24 February 2017 11:16 AM
The Early Betting Moves report is back this week with a number of significant betting moves to report on. Some betting market movers have come in more than 50% from their opening quotes and in-line with recent weeks, we've seen more of the early betting activity focussed on Sydney. Early betting on Randwick races this week has attracted a greater number of punters resulting in more market moves and more significant plunges compared to Caulfield.
Remember early market moves often represent the bets of smart punters who identify opening odds that are higher than the those that they have assessed for a particular runner. This is not always the case so our analysts assess the long list of early betting moves and produce this report highlighting those runners who we have assessed as a good winning a chance.
Randwick Betting Moves
Most Exalted. Can overlook his last start failure on a bog track, over 2400m and with noted post race stress. Gets back to a more suitable distance here. Up in class but drops considerably in weight. Can make his presence felt in a small field.
Dreadlock ran second in a BM70 Saturday metropolitan meeting in Adelaide over the mile back in spring, which isn't bad form for this race. Finished top two in all three starts this campaign for his new stable. Chance.
Acrtic Angel put in two solid efforts last preparation. Dashed to the lead at his recent outing but couldn't hold on. Fitter and makes strong claims.
Songlike. First career start. Ran second in a 808m trial at Warwick Farm on 6 February and then won her most recent trial at Rosehill over 900m on 14 February. Market moves are encouraging.
Colesberg won his only start on a heavy track at a Saturday Warwick Farm meet back in January where he made his run from last to win. Was runner-up in a recent trail at Rosehill over 900m.
Eden Roc was good at his first career start finishing within a length to Exceeds. Injured in the run at his recent outing and still managed third. Top hope.
Souffrant is having his first career run. Won one of two recent trials and was solid across the line in the other. Early market moves are encouraging.
Big Money. Recent runs have been solid. Unlucky not to win after striking interference when he jumped at his recent outing. Has won at this distance. Contender.
Snippets Land comes off a solid effort running wide and still ran the fastest final sectional in the race. Further distance suits. Top chance.
Global Glamour has shown a lot of class in her two runs since her first-up effort when she couldn't get clear. Should be up on the speed again with a trail. Hard to beat.
Zanbagh finished second in this race last year, then won the G2 Emanciaption Stakes over 1500m. Forgive first-up failutre last preparation at 1400m when the pattern didn't suit. Has claims.
Dixie Blossoms was quick over the final sectionals to almost grab the race last start after dropping towards the rear from a wide gate. Similar challenge here but fitter and further are pluses.
Denpurr was reported to dislike the Melbourne way of going at her recent outing. Good effort from a wide barrier at the Gold Coast before that and didn't get a crack at them till late at Canterbury. She has won twice from three starts this track and distance.
Caulfield Betting Moves
Second Bullet. Coasted in first-up to win by four lengths against reasonable opposition. Extra distance is a plus and other conditions are almost identical when he won here last start. The one to beat.
Benz comes off a win in his recent trial and a solid preparation before that. Has two wins from three starts at this distance. Has claims.
Zunbaqa has a case at good odds. Was good as she has been fresh when 4.2 lengths behind Fuhryk. Made significant improvement last time she was second-up to win. and has a good record at the 1400m. Chance.
Turn Me Loose improved sharply second-up to maintain the lead up to the final stages of the race. Can make a case if he continues to improve. Two respected racing media expert form analysts, David Gately and Matt Stewart, have tipped the CF Orr runner-up to beat Black Heart Bart.
Tally is 2/2 at this distance. Solid fresh performance. Has good form lines behind quality thorougbreds and has won or placed from each of his three second-up starts. Chance.
Humidor flew home at his recent outing over the mile to almost claim the prize. Extra 200m suits nicely. The one to beat.
Tulip rates well against the favoured Catchy in this race. Ran a nose second to Limestone who was beat by a similar distance after that race by Catchy. Contender.
Fell Swoop ran three strong races without winning last preparation including a nose second in the Manikato. Won and placed four of his five fresh starts. Top contender.
Extreme Choice showed his class when winning the Moir first-up last prep against G1 level competitors. Unbeaten fresh and at Caulfield. Top show.
Silent Sedition was super impressive when resuming a few weeks ago at Caulfield, flying from the rear of the field off slow speed to miss by a nose. Fast final sectional suggests she wants the extra 200m.
Get more selection advice from professional punters and Australia's racing media in our racing Tip Market.
Mike Steward
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