Civic Stakes 2017 race preview

29 June 2017 15:45 PM

Rosehill was rated a soft 7 after some light morning showers on Thursday. With sunshine predicted throughout the weekend, that reading is only going to improve.

Race 7 on the nine race card is the Civic Stakes, racing over the 1350m with the rail out 3.5 metres for the entire circuit.

Runners have only 200m from the barriers until the first turn into the side straight, underlining the importance of early speed and barrier positions in this race.

Betting marketMarket Movers

Just a sprinkle of early money for two of the more favoured runners in the betting. Gold Symphony is in half a point to $7 and Sir Bacchus has firmed slightly into $3.90 from $4.

Horse Racing AnalysisKey Runners

#8 Sir Bacchus - odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 4, 3.9

Has had an unlucky preparation to date with reasonable excuses in each of his three starts. Best efforts have come at distances up to 1200m, however he does have a fitness and class edge in the race.

Betting odds Tatts Tiara 2017

#2 Gold Symphony odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 7.5,7,7.5,7

Finished last preparation off with a win against Happy Clapper. Both runs this preparation have been sound. Form rates well against the favoured Sir Bacchus. Wetter the better for this bloke. Good chance.

 

#3 Shiraz odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 7.5, 8

Was a commendable fifth first-up with 59.5kg on his back then flew home in the Eye Liner a few weeks later to finish one length from a win. Drops 3kg from that run and has the best chance he has had in a while to break his 22 month drought.

 

#9 Telopea odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 8.5, 9

A few solid efforts in the 2016 Sir Rupert Clarke and Let's Elope Stakes last Spring suggests she ticks the class box here. Raced on an unfavourable heavy track first-up at Warrnambool, then finished well after being held-up at Morphettvile. Drops 5kg from her solid second at the Valley last start. In this.

 

#11 Invincible Knight odds fluctuations 3pm 22/6 - 7.5, 8, 8.5, 9

Has shown good form in easier grades this preparation. Drops 8kg from his recent outing which he won jumping from barrier 14. Looks like a genuine improver.

 

#6 Extensible odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 10 unchanged

Solid effort at her recent outing in the G2 Dane Ripper when she came home strongly from the rear of the field. That run rates well against this company. Hasn't missed the quinella from four starts this track and trip. Must consider.

 

#1 The Monstar odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 10, 11

Recent two efforts were strong. His form beyond 1200m is the main query.

 

#12 Girl Sunday odds fluctuations 3pm 29/6 - 11 unchanged

Raced well enough at her recent two outings when jumping from wide barriers over 1200m. Extra distance suits and drops in weight here. Genuine contender.

 

Off the others.....

Slightly Sweet has claims on the back of her two recent runs. Was close behind Daysee Doom in the G3 Dark Jewel after jumping from barrier 13 then followed up with another close finish in the Octagonal when caught wide for the entire journey.

 

betting tickSelections

1st Telopea - class, weight drop and solid recent form makes a compelling case.

2nd Girl Sunday

3rd Slightly Sweet

 

Mike Steward